One of the mountains that government delegations currently attending the UNFCCC climate talks in Bangkok have to climb in these two weeks is to reduce the mindboggling 180 page negotiating text down to a more digestible size of around 30 pages so that when it comes to Copenhagen, politicians will have a document that they will be able to easily comprehend and effectively negotiate... and then endorse, we hope. However, it is vital that in a more compact text the urgent need for ambitious mitigation targets to keep temperature rises below 2 degrees Centigrade are reflected. Such a text also crucially needs to reflect the support required by developing countries and poor communities to respond to climate change, to adapt appropiately, and to be able to develop in a future low-carbon climate.
A team of Christian Aid staff and partners have been working all hours of day and night since the talks began on 28 September to make sure that government delegations from the North and South are listening to the demands of civil society and communities in developing countries. Through analysis, networking, pressuring, and a great deal of pushing and shoving, our team of advocacy experts are doing everything they can to ensure that the eventual final text will deliver a fair, equitable and adequately ambitious agreement at the end of Copenhagen in two months time.
Their job is little seen and little appreciated by the outside world. Inside the cool, air-conditioned and heavily guarded UN Convention Centre, NGO representatives dash from meeting to meeting, from early morning until the small hours of the night, working with networks and allies to strengthen their positions, bending the ears of government delegates and following a seemingly endless trail of 'intelligence'': Who is saying what? Who has agreed what? Which delegation will cause trouble next? Which delegates are sympathetic to our causes? Which delegations are colluding? Which ones are hiding secrets?'Where are the pressure points?
Meanwhile, outside the UN centre, NGOs organise endless numbers of events and meetings in conference centres, hotels, restaurants or anywhere they can find a respectable space to hear what positions the negotiators are taking and rally support for their own messages. To these events, they invite delegates, civil society, journalists and others who they hope they can persuade to support the technical messages that lie behind those concepts of fairness, adequacy and equity in these historic climate change debates and negotiations.
It is a complex, technical, exhausting but utterly intriguing process. Our team of advocates are highly skilled and extremely canny. Where they spot a crack, a gap or an opportunity, they are ready to pounce to ensure that the negotiating text reflects the needs of the poor and the marginalised who are already suffering the worst impacts of a less than two degrees warmer world but have done very little to contribute to it.
But what of progress so far? Christian Aid's African partner alliance PACJA has accused developed countries of sabotaging the talks (see previous post). Meanwhile, according to Christian Aid's Nelson Muffuh, 'snail's pace catastrophic' was one way that NGO observers reported the progress, or lack of, made by last Friday.
Following a stock-taking of the week's activities, Nelson summarised the activities into the following gloomy themes:
1. The worryingly slow pace of the negotiations: "Progress is lacking on issues of substance - like mid-term targets and financing from developed countries - and meagre progress has been made in consolidating the negotiating text for actual negotiations to begin in Barcelona before going on to Copenhagen. There is also a lack of a clear mandate to the LCA chair to further shorten the text, rather than depend on the party driven process which is tedious."
2. The risk that the already inadequate Kyoto architecture will collapse completely: "Developing Countries are very upset about the EU’s one-protocol position, even though the EU insists that essential KP (Kyoto Protocol) elements are not endangered."
"This all means we are not on track for the sort of effective and fair agreement we need from Copenhagen."
Nelson finished with a call to rally the NGO troops here in Bangkok and at home: "The only way to ensure we have an acceptable outcome is if we continue working hard through strategic influencing, networking, popular mobilization and communications to get the political conditions right in industrialised countries especially the UK, EU and US."